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How Secure Is Social Security?

Posted by: Brad Neve /  Category: Economy and Stock Market, Uncategorized

If you’re retired or close to retiring, then you’ve probably got nothing to worry about–your Social Security benefits will likely be paid to you in the amount you’ve planned on (at least that’s what most of the politicians say).  But what about the rest of us?

 
The media onslaught
Watching the news, listening to the radio, or reading the newspaper, you’ve probably come across story after story on the health of Social Security.  And, depending on the actuarial assumptions used and the political slant, Social Security has been described as everything from a program in need of only minor adjustments to one in crisis requiring immediate, drastic reform.
 
Obviously, the underlying assumptions used can skew one’s perception of the solvency of Social Security, and even experts disagree on the best remedy.  So let’s take a look at what we do know.
 
According to the Social Security Administration (SSA), approximately 54 million Americans currently collect some sort of Social Security retirement, disability or death benefit.  Social Security is a pay-as-you-go system, with today’s current workers paying the benefits for today’s retirees.
How much do today’s workers pay?  Well, the first $102,000 of an individual’s annual wages is subject to a 12.4% Social Security payroll tax, with half being paid by the employee and half by the employer (self-employed individuals pay all of it).  This money is put into a big holding tank–the Social Security trust fund–and is used to pay out current benefits.
 
The amount of your retirement benefit is based on your average earnings over your working career.  Higher lifetime earnings result in higher benefits, so if you have some years of no earnings or low earnings, your benefit amount may be lower than if you had worked steadily.
 
Your age at the time you start receiving benefits also affects your benefit amount.  Currently, the full retirement age is in the process of rising from 65 to 67 in two-month increments, as shown in the following chart:
Birth Date
Normal retirement age
1940
65 and 6 months
1941
65 and 8 months
1942
65 and 10 months
1943-1954
66
1955
66 and 2 months
1956
66 and 4 months
1957
66 and 6 months
1958
66 and 8 months
1959
66 and 10 months
1960 and later
67
You can begin receiving Social Security benefits before your full retirement age, as early as age 62.  However, if you retire early, your Social Security benefit will be less than if you had waited until your full retirement age to begin receiving benefits.  Specifically, your retirement benefit will be reduced by 5/9ths of 1 percent for every month between your retirement date and your full retirement age, up to 36 months, then by 5/12ths of 1 percent thereafter.  For example, if your full retirement age is 67, you’ll receive about 30 percent less if you retire at age 62 than if you wait until age 67 to retire.  This reduction is permanent–you won’t be eligible for a benefit increase once you reach full retirement age.
 
Demographic trends
Even those on opposite sides of the political spectrum can agree that demographic factors are exacerbating Social Security’s problems, namely, life expectancy is increasing and the birth rate is decreasing.  This means that over time, fewer workers will have to support more retirees.  According to the Social Security Administration (SSA), in 1950, there were 16 workers per beneficiary, today there are 3 workers per beneficiary, and within 40 years there will be just 2 workers per beneficiary.
 
The SSA predicts that in 2017, Social Security will begin paying out more money than it takes in.  However, by drawing on the Social Security trust fund that, on paper, is supposed to receive today’s payroll surpluses, the SSA estimates that Social Security should be able to pay promised benefits until 2041.
The caveat is that money in the trust fund isn’t exactly like money in your pocket–various administrations have used the money to pay for general government spending, leaving the trust fund with only a legal obligation to be paid back. To do so, the federal government would need to reduce other spending, borrow money, or raise taxes–a hurdle that might factor into the final solution.
 
Possible fixes
While no one can say for sure what will happen (and the political process is sure to be contentious), here are some solutions that might make the final cut:
  • Allow individuals to invest some of their current Social Security taxes in "personal retirement accounts" (the centerpiece of President Bush’s plan)
  • Raise the current 12.4% payroll tax
  • Raise the current ceiling on wages currently subject to the payroll tax
  • Raise the retirement age beyond age 67
  • Reduce future benefits, especially for wealthy retirees
  • Tie initial benefit levels to a more modest price index instead of the current wage index
  • Allow the Social Security program itself to invest in assets other than government bonds
Uncertain outcome
Members of Congress and President Bush still support efforts to reform Social Security, but progress on the issue has been slow, and domestic priorities are shifting.  However, the SSA continues to urge all parties to address the issue sooner rather than later, to allow for a gradual phasing in of any necessary changes.   Although debate will continue on this polarizing topic, there are no easy answers, and the final outcome for this decades-old program is still uncertain.
 
In the meantime, what can you do?
Aside from following the news to learn of any legislative developments, you should periodically check your Social Security earnings record to make sure that your earnings have been properly credited.  You can find this information on your Social Security Statement, which the SSA mails annually to every worker over age 25.  You will receive this statement about three months before your birthday.  Review it carefully to make sure your paid earnings were accurately reported–mistakes are common. Call the SSA at (800) 772-1213 for more information.
This statement will also estimate the amount of Social Security benefits you will be eligible to receive in the future, based on your actual earnings and projections of future earnings.  If you don’t receive this statement in the mail, you can request one by calling your local SSA office or through the Social Security website at www.ssa.gov.
Ken Himmler

Are You Getting Enough Return on Your Investments?

Posted by: Ken Himmler /  Category: Economy and Stock Market, Investment Strategies

It generally goes without saying that when setting aside money for retirement you want to get the most out of your investments.  Every type of investment carries with it a certain amount of risk.  This has a tendency to scare people into sticking with the safest investments possible because they are afraid of losing all of their money.  Unfortunately, the risks involved with investments are not always clear at the outset.

While it may sound like a good idea, the fact is letting your money sit in a standard savings account could cause you to effectively lose more money than you would be risking in other forms of investment.  It is very true that a little bit goes a long way, and over time a small investment could grow exponentially.  Unfortunately, there are a lot of other factors that are figured into the growth of your money.  One of these factors that is often overlooked is the ratio of interest to inflation.  If the level of interest is lower than the level of inflation, you will effectively lose money in your investment.

With any investment option the goal is always to get the highest interest rate possible.  This is especially important when we take the rate of inflation into account.  The value of the US Dollar changes over time.  Placing $1 in the bank now might result in $100 in 20 years but the value of that $100 will be different than it is today.  To avoid losing value in your investment it is important that your interest rate is the same as or (preferably) higher than the inflation rate.  For this reason the safest investment options for you may not be the best options for you.  Talk with your retirement planner if you are having trouble finding investment options that will give you the most return.

 

Ken Himmler

Avoid Investment Scams

Posted by: Ken Himmler /  Category: Economy and Stock Market, Investment Psycology, Investment Strategies

In the light of the present recession, everyone is looking for ways to make safe investments.  Unlike in previous generations, today’s primary resource for conducting the much needed investment research is none other than the Internet.  Unfortunately, there are a lot of dishonest people who have caught on to the fact that everyone is looking for a way to make a easy, safe investments.  These dishonest individuals have set up several elaborate scams to swindle honest, hardworking individuals like you out of their hard earned money.  You will need to equip yourself with the information you need to avoid such scams when doing your own investment research.

One of the most common scams comes in the form of unqualified individuals who claim to be reputable investment advisors.  These are sometimes easy to spot because they make unrealistic claims about your money.  Unfortunately there are also many well thought out scams that are hard to spot.  Sometimes scammers assume the identities of actual, licensed investment planners with outstanding credentials.  If you are not careful you can lose a lot of money in a short amount of time.

The best way to avoid these types of scams is to double-check all of your references.  Never send anybody money for investment services until you are absolutely sure they are who they claim to be.  Most reputable investment planners have only a select few websites that they operate with, and these websites are usually well documented by services that specialize in this kind of research.  When in doubt, do a google search with the name of the individual or service in question followed by the word ‘scam’ to find complaints other people have had.  When in doubt, follow this golden rule of Internet investing:  If it sounds to good to be true it probably is.  There are many legitimate investment services out there just waiting for you to find them.
 

Ken Himmler

Is Your Plan Up To Date?

Posted by: Ken Himmler /  Category: Economy and Stock Market, Investment Strategies

When an individual starts down the path toward financial independence, it is understood that he or she will have to make adjustments along the way.  Even the most well thought out plan cannot take into account every unforeseen situation that can interfere with your future plans.  For this reason, it is extremely important to stay on top of your financial situation so that you can make the appropriate adjustments to your savings and investments as necessary.

There is no substitute for being well informed about the laws that govern things such as taxes, investments, or anything that could affect your personal financial status.  State and tax laws have a tendency to change seemingly overnight, and adjustments to your financial retirement plan may have to be made so that you continue to get the most out of your hard earned money.  Failure to stay on top of your financial situation in this way could even have some potentially dire legal consequences.  Always check with your retirement planner when you hear about new laws that could concern your savings and investments.

Besides legal changes, there are many other situations that you should stay well informed about.  New financial opportunities become available every day for those who are actively looking for them.  Whether it is a new investment opportunity or a special holiday savings account with a particularly high interest rate, adapting your plan as necessary can make you a lot more money in the long run. 

If you get in the habit of doing investment research, watching the economic forecasts, and playing an active role in the investment process, you will be better equipped to deal with life’s uncertainties.  All it takes is a little bit of time, effort, and energy and you will be well on your way to true financial independence.
 

Ken Himmler

Taxes in The Time Of Obama. How Might Things Change?

Posted by: Ken Himmler /  Category: Economy and Stock Market, Property Taxes

 

 In February, President Barack Obama rolled out his plan for the federal budget – a budget created with the vision of aiding the middle class and making health insurance available to more Americans. Since his campaign, he has also repeatedly vowed that taxes will not go up for families making less than $250,000 annually.1Given this mission and that pledge, the question becomes: how will the federal government fund the President’s sweeping social programs? If taxes won’t rise for the middle class and working class, where will the money come from? The all-but-certain answer: from businesses and about 3 million of the highest-earning Americans.  
 
Turning back the hands of time? In the President’s conception, the sun would set on tax cuts given to high-income earners during the Bush years. Families earning more than $250,000 and individuals earning more than $200,000 would contend with the tax rates they faced during the Clinton administration. The 2001 and 2003 tax cuts would expire in 2011. In 2011, the highest two tax brackets would return to 36% and 39.6%, and the capital gains tax rate would head back up to 20%. The Obama administration believes this could raise $637 billion over the coming decade.2
 
 
Will the estate tax stay the same? 2010 was to be the year of 0% estate tax – the great reprieve before estate taxes as high as 55% would hit in 2011. That was what was supposed to happen … but now it may not. President Obama wants the estate tax picture to remain as it is now, with estate tax rates of up to 45% kicking in above a $3.5 million exemption (which would be indexed to inflation for future years). In late April, a Senate proposal aimed to lower the estate tax rate and raise the exemption, but this fell by the wayside in budget negotiations with the House. So it appears the estate tax is here to stay, but it will apparently not reset to 2001 rates.3,4
 
How might things change for businesses? Among the ideas being considered: a requirement that investment partnerships pay regular income tax rates rather than capital gains tax rates; revoking methods of inventory accounting that can help to cut business taxes; and further restricting corporate options for automatic deferral of federal taxes on overseas income. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner has claimed that planned tax increases would only affect only about 2% of filers with business profits; the nonpartisan Joint Committee on Taxation puts the figure at 3%.1
 
Legislators call for compromises. On April 29, the House and Senate approved a $3.5-trillion outline of the proposed federal budget, but it did not include all of what the President wanted. (No Congressional Republicans voted for the budget resolution, and among them, Sen. John McCain denounced it as “generational theft”.)4 An important tax-linked question wasn’t answered: how to pick up the cost of making quality healthcare accessible to more Americans. The President wants to leave more money for that mission by capping tax deductions at 28% for families earning more than $250,000 a year, as opposed to the current 33% value. Charities and homebuilders would hate that idea, and figure to lobby Congress if it advances.4
 
The Obama administration also wanted to remove subsidies to farms with annual sales of more than $500,000, and have the opportunity to bill insurance companies for treatment of injuries linked to military service. Neither idea survived budget negotiations in Congress.4 Under the budget blueprint that was approved, the $400/$800 “Making Work Pay” tax credit – which Obama wanted to make permanent – would disappear after 2010.4
 
Changes may call for conversation. If these proposed tax changes become law, would you be affected? This is an excellent time to consider what might happen to your financial picture as a result. A talk with your financial or tax advisor may help you to identify your options.
 
 
 
 
Citations.
1 washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/04/26/AR2009042602838_pf.html          [4/26/09]
2 money.cnn.com/2009/02/26/news/economy/obama_budget_outline/index.htm?postversion=2009022619                     [2/27/09]
3 sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2009/04/25/BUGE178HU6.DTL          [4/25/09]
4 latimes.com/news/la-na-budget30-2009apr30,0,5614049.story   [4/30/09]

 

Ken Himmler

Retirement And The Recession: What You Need To Know

Posted by: Ken Himmler /  Category: Economy and Stock Market, Investment Strategies

The recession is on everyone’s minds these days. If you are retired or nearing retirement this adds to the concern and stress. I recently wrote an article about the key points you need to know about how the recession effects your retirement.

Eventhough this is a difficult time for everyone, there are tips and techniques on how to comfortably retire in the midst of a weak economy: View the article here   http://www.financialadvisormatch.com/community/articles/1115_retirement_and_the_recession_what_you_need_to_know.html

Ken Himmler

Annuities Update

Posted by: Ken Himmler /  Category: Economy and Stock Market

We have seen quite a bit of financial destruction and deception from the banks and the large financial institutions. Many people are starting to questions will we have the same fallout with insurance companies. Many of you know that I attended a conference in the beginning of January to learn more about the state of the insurance industry. At that time I listened to the insurance company executives talk about the problems they were going to have. Their problems were not so much centered on losing business but more of too much business. Many of these executives were worried with the crash of the stock market and the low yields on CDs and bonds people would flock to annuities in unprecedented numbers.

They were concerned with not only how they would handle the investment of all the influx but how would they handle the necessary staff needed for all the additional business. It seemed as though the general contention was to put a limit of the amount of business that they would accept. They also talked about reducing some of the benefits to reduce the amount of inflow. In the last two weeks we have now seen quite a lot of change from the insurance companies. Here is a small list of some of the changes some of the big players are making;

1) Reduction of maximum issue age they are willing to accept.
2) Reduction in the amount of maximum investment by any one person or family.
3) Reduction of the upfront bonus. Example: A certain company reduced their upfront bonus from 10% to 8%
4) Reduction in the cap on the annual earnings.
5) Reduction in the rider benefits. Example is: A certain company was giving a 8% guaranteed income rider for 10 years. They have now reduced this to 5%
6) A limit on the total amount of the business they will accept: Example: A certain company had set a limit on the amount of new money they would take in 2009 to nine billion. They hit six billion in the first three months of 2009. They are now setting monthly maximum limits. The problem with this is we just wait in line and send in the money and they may send it back because they have hit their maximum.
7) Only new money accepted. One of the costs of the annuity company is when they will facilitate the moving of money from brokerage accounts, Bank CDs, or other annuities. Some of the larger companies are now putting this task on the client and will only accept an annuity application with a physical check.

I felt it important to update everyone on this recent development. My opinion is that in today’s environment of low CD rates, volatile markets and unknown economic horizons annuities still play in important part of a pre-retirement or retirement plan.

In your lifespan you will encounter three phases. The accumulation phase, the pre-retirement phase and the retirement or distribution phase. Annuities play an important part in the pre-retirement and the distribution phase. I am still a big believer that only under certain circumstances should annuities be used for younger people – ie in the accumulation phase.
 

Ken Himmler

Insurance Companies Go For The Gold

Posted by: Ken Himmler /  Category: Economy and Stock Market, Health Insurance, Life Insurance, Long Term care Insurance

The government’s bailout money is not up for grabs. Large insurance companies that qualify for the government’s bailout money have made applications. So far Hartford life, Prudential and Metropolitan are some of the ones that have made the application. They may be eligible for billions that may help bolster their corporate bond positions. Most insurance companies make money on the spreads that they get from buying corporate bonds and government bonds. Just like a bank makes a spread on the money they payout on Cds and savings accounts versus the amount they charge on loans. Insurance companies make money the same way – on their portfolios.

The problem was when the recession – depression hit many companies either stopped their interest payments on their bonds or outright defaulted. This has put a crunch on some insurance companies that may have been leveraged to highly. This new seed of investment help from the government should help these companies buy up more corporate and government bonds. While it still makes sense to have insurance companies as a part of an overall investment plan it also makes sense to diversify between different companies and different insurance products. You also want to check your state to find out what the actual coverage is in case an insurance company does go into receivership. As an example in Florida the amount each person is covered for is $100,000 for an annuity contract.